AA | Alcoa CorporationNYSEMaterials golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Aug, and price is trading below both. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.

On the daily, AA has crossed 11 times, roughly every 10 months, the last one on 8/6/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 3 times, most recently a golden cross in Mar 2026, with price trading above the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 11% lower.

AA  

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as of 3 Nov 16:00 ET

AA cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2018

23 golden and death crosses since 2018, with 3 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 11 daily crosses from a median of 25 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the daily, on 8/6/2026.

Crossed
8/6/2026Death steepdaily3 bar cross test
7/6/2026Death4-hourNot tested
3/9/2026Golden moderateweeklyNot tested
10/3/2025Golden moderatedailyNot tested
7/11/2025Golden4-hour—
2/14/2025Deathdaily1 bar cross test
1/13/2025Death4-hour—
10/16/2024GoldendailyNot tested
10/14/2024Golden4-hour—
9/13/2024Deathdaily4 bar cross test
8/1/2024Death4-hour—
4/5/2024GoldendailyNot tested
3/18/2024Golden4-hour—
3/4/2024Death4-hour—
12/27/2023Golden4-hour—
11/27/2023Death steepweekly1 bar cross test
4/13/2023DeathdailyNot tested
3/21/2023Death4-hour—
2/14/2023Goldendaily6 bar cross test
6/28/2022DeathdailyNot tested
9/6/2021Golden moderateweeklyNot tested
9/1/2020Goldendaily2 bar cross test
7/18/2018DeathdailyNot tested

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.