AGO | Assured GuarantyNYSEFinancial golden cross and death cross projections

AGO is projected to death cross on the weekly within 10 bars, with nothing projected on the daily inside the 30 bars we track. On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Mar, with price now sitting between the two, though the two averages have been drifting apart.

On the daily, AGO has crossed 13 times, roughly every 8 months, the last one on 3/27/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 2 times, most recently a golden cross in Aug 2021, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 6% lower.

AGO  

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as of 30 Oct 16:00 ET

AGO cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017

28 golden and death crosses since 2017, with 2 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 13 daily crosses from a median of 24 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the 4-hour, on 8/25/2026.

Crossed
8/25/2026Death4-hourNot tested
7/21/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
3/27/2026Death moderatedailyNot tested
3/10/2026Death4-hour1 bar cross test
3/5/2026Golden4-hour2 bar cross test
2/12/2026Death4-hour3 bar cross test
12/5/2025Golden moderatedailyNot tested
11/18/2025Golden4-hourNot tested
5/9/2025Death flatdaily5 bar cross test
3/13/2025Death4-hour—
10/30/2024Goldendaily2 bar cross test
9/18/2024Golden4-hour—
8/20/2024Death4-hour—
8/16/2024Deathdaily2 bar cross test
8/6/2024Golden4-hour—
4/30/2024Death4-hour—
8/21/2023Goldendaily6 bar cross test
7/7/2023Golden4-hour—
4/5/2023DeathdailyNot tested
3/10/2023Death4-hour—
12/5/2022GoldendailyNot tested
8/17/2022Deathdaily2 bar cross test
8/16/2021Golden steepweeklyNot tested
11/30/2020GoldendailyNot tested
7/13/2020DeathweeklyNot tested
3/13/2020DeathdailyNot tested
7/3/2018Goldendaily3 bar cross test
10/23/2017DeathdailyNot tested

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.