ARI | APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCENYSEReal Estate golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Jul, and price is trading below both. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.

On the daily, ARI has crossed 19 times, roughly every 6 months, the last one on 7/23/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 2 times, most recently a death cross in Jul 2026, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 2% higher.

ARI  

Loading the chart...

as of 3 Nov 16:00 ET

ARI cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017

34 golden and death crosses since 2017, with 2 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 19 daily crosses from a median of 21 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the weekly, on 7/27/2026.

Crossed
7/27/2026Death flatweeklyNot tested
7/23/2026Death steepdailyNot tested
7/7/2026Death4-hourNot tested
6/8/2026Golden moderateweekly2 bar cross test
2/4/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
10/28/2025Death4-hour3 bar cross test
6/16/2025Golden flatdailyNot tested
5/21/2025Golden4-hour—
4/25/2025Death moderatedaily8 bar cross test
4/16/2025Death4-hour—
3/27/2025Golden steepdaily4 bar cross test
2/13/2025Golden4-hour—
9/4/2024Death4-hour—
8/5/2024Golden4-hour—
5/6/2024DeathdailyNot tested
3/4/2024Death4-hour—
12/14/2023GoldendailyNot tested
12/5/2023Golden4-hour—
9/29/2023DeathdailyNot tested
9/6/2023Death4-hour—
7/18/2023GoldendailyNot tested
6/16/2023Golden4-hour—
3/28/2023DeathdailyNot tested
3/14/2023Death4-hour—
1/18/2023Goldendaily2 bar cross test
11/29/2021DeathdailyNot tested
12/2/2020GoldendailyNot tested
11/29/2019Deathdaily5 bar cross test
5/16/2019Goldendaily5 bar cross test
12/18/2018DeathdailyNot tested
6/20/2018Goldendaily2 bar cross test
3/2/2018Deathdaily1 bar cross test
12/15/2017GoldendailyNot tested
9/13/2017Deathdaily3 bar cross test

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.