BIV | Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Apr, with price now sitting between the two. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.

On the daily, BIV has crossed 14 times, roughly every 8 months, the last one on 4/7/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 2 times, most recently a golden cross in Oct 2025, with price trading above the 50/200 cross point that day. It ended the following week where it started.

BIV  

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as of 30 Oct 16:00 ET

BIV cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017

27 golden and death crosses since 2017, with 2 on the weekly timeframe. Of the 14 daily crosses tracked, we projected 13 of them from a median of 19 bars out. It has not crossed on any timeframe since 4/7/2026.

Crossed
4/7/2026Death moderatedailyNot tested
3/23/2026Death4-hourNot tested
2/27/2026Golden4-hour2 bar cross test
1/2/2026Death4-hour6 bar cross test
10/27/2025Golden flatweeklyNot tested
6/25/2025Golden flatdailyNot tested
3/7/2025Golden4-hour—
12/27/2024DeathdailyNot tested
11/4/2024Death4-hour—
6/20/2024Golden4-hour—
6/18/2024GoldendailyNot tested
6/10/2024DeathdailyNot tested
4/5/2024Death4-hour—
1/12/2024GoldendailyNot tested
12/6/2023Golden4-hour—
7/27/2023DeathdailyNot tested
6/9/2023Death4-hour—
4/26/2023GoldendailyNot tested
4/3/2023Golden4-hour—
3/10/2023Death4-hour—
4/25/2022Death steepweeklyNot tested
10/14/2021DeathdailyNot tested
9/8/2021Goldendaily4 bar cross test
1/27/2021DeathdailyNot tested
1/22/2019GoldendailyNot tested
12/6/2017Deathdaily2 bar cross test
6/21/2017Goldendaily2 bar cross test

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.