BSV | Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections
On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Mar, and price is trading below both. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.
On the daily, BSV has crossed 10 times, roughly every 12 months, the last one on 3/30/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 2 times, most recently a golden cross in Mar 2025, with price trading above the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 1% lower.
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BSV cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017
23 golden and death crosses since 2017, with 2 on the weekly timeframe. Of the ten daily crosses tracked, we projected nine of them from a median of 21 bars out. It has not crossed on any timeframe since 3/30/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/30/2026 | Death moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 3/18/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 2/24/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | 1 bar cross test |
| 12/24/2025 | Death | 4-hour | 4 bar cross test |
| 3/31/2025 | Golden moderate | weekly | 2 bar cross test |
| 3/21/2025 | Golden moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 2/28/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 2/11/2025 | Death | daily | 6 bar cross test |
| 11/7/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 6/18/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/8/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 12/27/2023 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 11/27/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 8/2/2023 | Death | daily | 4 bar cross test |
| 6/16/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 4/6/2023 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 3/24/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/9/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 4/25/2022 | Death steep | weekly | Not tested |
| 1/5/2021 | Death | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 1/7/2019 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 11/9/2017 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 6/27/2017 | Golden | daily | 2 bar cross test |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.