CTA | Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections
CTA is projected to death cross on the daily within 30 bars. On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat above the 200 since Oct, but price is now trading below both, and the two averages have been closing on each other.
On the daily, CTA has crossed 8 times, roughly every 6 months, the last one on 10/20/2026. It has never crossed on the weekly in the history we hold.
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CTA cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2023
19 golden and death crosses since 2023, and none at all on the weekly timeframe. We projected all eight daily crosses from a median of 22 bars out. The most recent was a golden cross on the daily, on 10/20/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 | Golden moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 9/16/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | 2 bar cross test |
| 7/17/2026 | Death steep | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 6/17/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 2/11/2026 | Golden moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 1/23/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 11/18/2025 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 9/16/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 6/16/2025 | Death steep | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 4/25/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 10/29/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 7/25/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 4/30/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 4/1/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 1/11/2024 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 12/5/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 8/31/2023 | Golden | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 6/5/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 1/9/2023 | Death | daily | Not tested |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.