DFNM | Dimensional National Municipal Bond ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections
DFNM is projected to death cross on the weekly within 10 bars, with nothing projected on the daily inside the 30 bars we track. On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since May, with price now sitting between the two, though the two averages have been drifting apart.
On the daily, DFNM has crossed 8 times, roughly every 6 months, the last one on 5/21/2026. On the weekly it has crossed just once, a golden cross in Mar 2026, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 1% lower.
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DFNM cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2023
22 golden and death crosses since 2023, with one on the weekly timeframe. 2024 alone holds four of the eight daily crosses. We projected all eight daily crosses from a median of 17 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the 4-hour, on 7/22/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/22/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 7/8/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | 2 bar cross test |
| 5/21/2026 | Death steep | daily | 4 bar cross test |
| 3/31/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 3/9/2026 | Golden moderate | weekly | 2 bar cross test |
| 9/29/2025 | Golden steep | daily | Not tested |
| 8/1/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/24/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 3/4/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 12/31/2024 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 11/6/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 8/5/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 7/30/2024 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 7/19/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/9/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 1/3/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 12/4/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 7/5/2023 | Death | daily | 5 bar cross test |
| 5/16/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 4/5/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/20/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 1/23/2023 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.