EFC | Ellington FinancialNYSEReal Estate golden cross and death cross projections
EFC is projected to death cross on the weekly within 10 bars, with nothing projected on the daily inside the 30 bars we track. On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Oct, and price is trading below both, though the two averages have been drifting apart.
On the daily, EFC has crossed 17 times, roughly every 7 months, the last one on 10/5/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 3 times, most recently a golden cross in Jan 2026, with price trading above the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 2% higher.
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EFC cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017
35 golden and death crosses since 2017, with 3 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 17 daily crosses from a median of 21 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the daily, on 10/5/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/5/2026 | Death steep | daily | Not tested |
| 9/14/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 6/15/2026 | Golden steep | daily | 2 bar cross test |
| 5/8/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 3/2/2026 | Death moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 2/5/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 1/5/2026 | Golden moderate | weekly | 3 bar cross test |
| 7/11/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 6/20/2025 | Golden flat | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 6/5/2025 | Death moderate | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 6/5/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 5/20/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/22/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 2/27/2025 | Golden moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 2/11/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 12/30/2024 | Death | daily | 4 bar cross test |
| 10/25/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 7/19/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 5/31/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 1/9/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 12/13/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 10/17/2023 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 9/26/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 7/7/2023 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 6/12/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/9/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 10/17/2022 | Death moderate | weekly | Not tested |
| 12/9/2021 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 7/19/2021 | Golden steep | weekly | Not tested |
| 10/19/2020 | Golden | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 3/12/2020 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 2/22/2019 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 12/13/2018 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 5/30/2018 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 9/1/2017 | Death | daily | Not tested |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.