FREL | Fidelity MSCI Real Estate Index ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections
On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Oct, but price is now trading above both. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.
On the daily, FREL has crossed 15 times, roughly every 7 months, the last one on 10/15/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 4 times, most recently a golden cross in Apr 2025, with price trading above the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 1% lower.
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FREL cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2018
32 golden and death crosses since 2018, with 4 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 15 daily crosses from a median of 25 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the daily, on 10/15/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/15/2026 | Death steep | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 9/14/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 4/20/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 4/9/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 2/12/2026 | Golden flat | daily | Not tested |
| 2/6/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 1/26/2026 | Death flat | daily | 6 bar cross test |
| 1/16/2026 | Golden flat | daily | Not tested |
| 1/6/2026 | Death moderate | daily | 4 bar cross test |
| 11/5/2025 | Death | 4-hour | 3 bar cross test |
| 9/5/2025 | Golden flat | daily | Not tested |
| 6/30/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/28/2025 | Golden flat | weekly | 6 bar cross test |
| 2/21/2025 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 12/20/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 7/9/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/12/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 1/4/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 12/8/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 8/31/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 7/10/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/21/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 2/27/2023 | Death moderate | weekly | Not tested |
| 3/11/2022 | Death | daily | 6 bar cross test |
| 4/26/2021 | Golden moderate | weekly | Not tested |
| 11/5/2020 | Golden | daily | 2 bar cross test |
| 10/26/2020 | Death moderate | weekly | 3 bar cross test |
| 3/20/2020 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 3/8/2019 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 11/26/2018 | Death | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 7/9/2018 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 2/5/2018 | Death | daily | Not tested |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.