HODL | VanEck Bitcoin ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat above the 200 since Oct, with price now sitting between the two. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.

On the daily, HODL has crossed 2 times, roughly every 10 months, the last one on 10/2/2026. It has never crossed on the weekly in the history we hold.

HODL  

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as of 3 Nov 16:00 ET

HODL cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2025

3 golden and death crosses since 2025, and none at all on the weekly timeframe. The most recent was a golden cross on the daily, on 10/2/2026.

Crossed
10/2/2026Golden steepdailyNot tested
9/3/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
12/11/2025Death steepdailyNot tested

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.