ICVT | iShares Convertible Bond ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Nov, and price is trading below both. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.

On the daily, ICVT has crossed 13 times, roughly every 8 months, the last one on 11/2/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 2 times, most recently a golden cross in Jan 2025, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 3% lower.

ICVT  

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as of 3 Nov 16:00 ET

ICVT cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2018

24 golden and death crosses since 2018, with 2 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 13 daily crosses from a median of 20 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the daily, on 11/2/2026.

Crossed
11/2/2026Death steepdailyActive Cross Test
8/19/2026Death4-hour5 bar cross test
6/17/2025Golden steepdailyNot tested
5/22/2025Golden4-hour—
4/29/2025Death moderatedaily2 bar cross test
3/13/2025Death4-hour—
1/13/2025Golden steepweeklyNot tested
5/24/2024Golden4-hour—
5/2/2024Death4-hour—
12/28/2023GoldendailyNot tested
12/15/2023Golden4-hour—
11/2/2023DeathdailyNot tested
9/27/2023Death4-hour—
6/9/2023Golden4-hour—
5/30/2023GoldendailyNot tested
5/5/2023Deathdaily7 bar cross test
4/4/2023Death4-hour—
2/15/2023GoldendailyNot tested
11/7/2022Death steepweeklyNot tested
12/9/2021DeathdailyNot tested
6/8/2020GoldendailyNot tested
4/6/2020Deathdaily1 bar cross test
3/29/2019GoldendailyNot tested
11/14/2018DeathdailyNot tested

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.