NAIL | Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Nov 2025, with price now sitting between the two. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.

On the daily, NAIL has crossed 11 times, roughly every 9 months, the last one on 11/26/2025. On the weekly it has crossed 5 times, most recently a death cross in Nov 2025, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 5% lower.

NAIL  

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as of 3 Nov 16:00 ET

NAIL cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2018

27 golden and death crosses since 2018, with 5 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 11 daily crosses from a median of 26 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the 4-hour, on 8/7/2026.

Crossed
8/7/2026Death4-hour5 bar cross test
7/13/2026Golden4-hour2 bar cross test
3/19/2026Death4-hourNot tested
2/6/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
11/26/2025Death steepdaily6 bar cross test
11/3/2025Death steepweekly2 bar cross test
10/28/2025Death4-hourNot tested
9/16/2025Golden steepdaily3 bar cross test
7/24/2025Golden4-hour—
12/31/2024DeathdailyNot tested
11/20/2024Death4-hour—
8/1/2024Golden4-hour—
5/8/2024Death4-hour—
12/13/2023GoldendailyNot tested
12/6/2023Golden4-hour—
11/27/2023Golden moderateweeklyNot tested
11/2/2023Deathdaily6 bar cross test
9/21/2023Death4-hour—
1/19/2023GoldendailyNot tested
10/10/2022Death steepweeklyNot tested
3/1/2022DeathdailyNot tested
5/10/2021Golden steepweeklyNot tested
9/22/2020Goldendaily4 bar cross test
9/14/2020Death flatweekly3 bar cross test
4/1/2020DeathdailyNot tested
4/24/2019GoldendailyNot tested
4/17/2018Deathdaily2 bar cross test

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.