SHY | iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETFNASDAQ golden cross and death cross projections

SHY is projected to death cross on the weekly within 10 bars, with nothing projected on the daily inside the 30 bars we track. On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Mar, and price is trading below both, though the two averages have been drifting apart.

On the daily, SHY has crossed 12 times, roughly every 9 months, the last one on 3/26/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 2 times, most recently a golden cross in Jun 2025, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It ended the following week where it started.

SHY  

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as of 30 Oct 16:00 ET

SHY cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017

31 golden and death crosses since 2017, with 2 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 12 daily crosses from a median of 25 bars out. It has not crossed on any timeframe since 3/26/2026.

Crossed
3/26/2026Death moderatedailyNot tested
3/13/2026Death4-hourNot tested
2/24/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
12/26/2025Death4-hour3 bar cross test
8/12/2025Golden4-hour—
8/4/2025Death4-hour—
7/18/2025Golden4-hour—
7/8/2025Death4-hour—
6/30/2025Golden moderateweekly4 bar cross test
6/26/2025Golden4-hour—
6/10/2025Death4-hour—
3/26/2025Golden steepdailyNot tested
2/28/2025Golden4-hour—
1/14/2025Deathdaily3 bar cross test
11/7/2024Death4-hour—
7/17/2024GoldendailyNot tested
7/2/2024Golden4-hour—
5/21/2024Deathdaily5 bar cross test
3/19/2024Death4-hour—
12/29/2023GoldendailyNot tested
11/14/2023Golden4-hour—
7/18/2023DeathdailyNot tested
6/13/2023Death4-hour—
4/25/2023GoldendailyNot tested
3/24/2023Golden4-hour—
3/3/2023Death4-hour—
5/23/2022Death steepweeklyNot tested
11/24/2020Deathdaily1 bar cross test
1/8/2019GoldendailyNot tested
10/24/2017DeathdailyNot tested
8/17/2017GoldendailyNot tested

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.