TBUX | T. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Apr, and price is trading below both. This instrument's price moved 0.9% over its last 200 sessions; Cruxta projects nothing on a range under 2%.

On the daily, TBUX has crossed 6 times, roughly every 7 months, the last one on 4/1/2026. It has never crossed on the weekly in the history we hold.

TBUX  

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as of 3 Nov 16:00 ET

TBUX cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2023

29 golden and death crosses since 2023, and none at all on the weekly timeframe. 2025 alone holds four of the six daily crosses. We projected all six daily crosses from a median of 11 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the 4-hour, on 9/18/2026.

Crossed
9/18/2026Death4-hour1 bar cross test
9/1/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
8/31/2026Death4-hourNot tested
8/5/2026Golden4-hour4 bar cross test
7/30/2026Death4-hourNot tested
7/9/2026Golden4-hour5 bar cross test
6/25/2026Death4-hourNot tested
6/24/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
4/1/2026Death moderatedaily1 bar cross test
3/2/2026Death4-hourNot tested
2/9/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
1/27/2026Death4-hourNot tested
1/9/2026Golden4-hour1 bar cross test
12/29/2025Death4-hourNot tested
12/11/2025Golden4-hourNot tested
12/1/2025Death4-hour3 bar cross test
7/9/2025Golden flatdailyNot tested
6/2/2025Golden4-hour—
5/30/2025Death4-hour—
5/22/2025Golden4-hour—
4/1/2025Death flatdaily3 bar cross test
3/31/2025Death4-hour—
3/18/2025Golden4-hour—
3/12/2025Golden flatdaily2 bar cross test
3/5/2025Death flatdailyNot tested
12/23/2024Death4-hour—
12/12/2024Golden4-hour—
11/29/2024Death4-hour—
3/15/2023Goldendaily4 bar cross test

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.