TMF | Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections
On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Jan, with price now sitting between the two. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.
On the daily, TMF has crossed 10 times, roughly every 11 months, the last one on 1/26/2026. On the weekly it has crossed just once, a death cross in Nov 2021, with price trading above the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 9% lower.
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TMF cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017
26 golden and death crosses since 2017, with one on the weekly timeframe. We projected all ten daily crosses from a median of 25 bars out. It has not crossed on any timeframe since 3/23/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/23/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 3/12/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 1/26/2026 | Death moderate | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 12/15/2025 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 10/20/2025 | Golden moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 8/29/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/14/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 3/20/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 11/21/2024 | Death | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 10/23/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 8/22/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 7/5/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/15/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 12/18/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 5/10/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 5/3/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/24/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 4/10/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/8/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 2/8/2022 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 11/22/2021 | Death moderate | weekly | 4 bar cross test |
| 8/25/2021 | Golden | daily | 2 bar cross test |
| 10/28/2020 | Death | daily | 2 bar cross test |
| 1/25/2019 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 2/8/2018 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 6/30/2017 | Golden | daily | 1 bar cross test |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.