TMV | Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections
On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat above the 200 since Apr, with price now sitting between the two. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.
On the daily, TMV has crossed 17 times, roughly every 6 months, the last one on 4/24/2026. On the weekly it has crossed just once, a golden cross in Oct 2022, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 8% higher.
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TMV cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2018
29 golden and death crosses since 2018, with one on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 17 daily crosses from a median of 20 bars out. It has not crossed on any timeframe since 4/24/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/24/2026 | Golden flat | daily | Not tested |
| 3/26/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 3/6/2026 | Death | 4-hour | 4 bar cross test |
| 12/19/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | 1 bar cross test |
| 9/19/2025 | Death moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 8/19/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 5/12/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/10/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 12/12/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 10/29/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 6/21/2024 | Death | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 6/21/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 5/31/2024 | Golden | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 4/8/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 1/22/2024 | Death | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 12/8/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 8/7/2023 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 5/26/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/13/2023 | Death | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 2/28/2023 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 2/7/2023 | Death | daily | 4 bar cross test |
| 10/24/2022 | Golden moderate | weekly | Not tested |
| 3/1/2022 | Golden | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 8/3/2021 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 12/8/2020 | Golden | daily | 5 bar cross test |
| 1/16/2019 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 10/3/2018 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 7/31/2018 | Death | daily | 2 bar cross test |
| 2/21/2018 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.