TOL | Toll BrothersNYSEConsumer Discretionary golden cross and death cross projections
TOL is projected to golden cross on the daily within 30 bars. On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Sep, but price is now trading above both, though the two averages have been drifting apart.
On the daily, TOL has crossed 11 times, roughly every 10 months, the last one on 9/25/2026. On the weekly it has crossed just once, a golden cross in Feb 2021, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 11% lower.
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TOL cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2018
21 golden and death crosses since 2018, with one on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 11 daily crosses from a median of 22 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the daily, on 9/25/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/2026 | Death moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 9/10/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 6/26/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 6/24/2026 | Golden moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 5/15/2026 | Death steep | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 4/1/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 8/25/2025 | Golden steep | daily | Not tested |
| 6/26/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 2/11/2025 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 12/27/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 7/26/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 6/28/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 11/24/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 10/9/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 12/30/2022 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 3/3/2022 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 2/22/2021 | Golden flat | weekly | Not tested |
| 8/12/2020 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 3/26/2020 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 3/4/2019 | Golden | daily | 8 bar cross test |
| 4/26/2018 | Death | daily | 4 bar cross test |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.