VBR | Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat above the 200 since Aug 2025, and price is trading above both. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.

On the daily, VBR has crossed 14 times, roughly every 6 months, the last one on 8/8/2025. On the weekly it has crossed just once, a golden cross in Apr 2021, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 7% lower.

VBR  

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as of 3 Nov 13:30 ET

VBR cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2018

28 golden and death crosses since 2018, with one on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 14 daily crosses from a median of 21 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the 4-hour, on 10/1/2026.

Crossed
10/1/2026Death4-hourNot tested
4/21/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
4/7/2026Death4-hour1 bar cross test
8/8/2025Golden moderatedailyNot tested
6/11/2025Golden4-hour—
3/31/2025Death moderatedailyNot tested
2/21/2025Death4-hour—
2/19/2025Golden4-hour—
1/16/2025Death4-hour—
7/23/2024Golden4-hour—
6/28/2024Death4-hour—
12/19/2023GoldendailyNot tested
12/11/2023Golden4-hour—
10/18/2023DeathdailyNot tested
9/29/2023Death4-hour—
7/24/2023GoldendailyNot tested
6/30/2023Golden4-hour—
4/25/2023DeathdailyNot tested
3/22/2023Death4-hour—
12/30/2022Goldendaily5 bar cross test
2/24/2022Deathdaily5 bar cross test
4/12/2021Golden steepweeklyNot tested
9/22/2020Goldendaily1 bar cross test
3/16/2020DeathdailyNot tested
11/11/2019GoldendailyNot tested
9/16/2019DeathdailyNot tested
4/30/2019Goldendaily1 bar cross test
11/12/2018DeathdailyNot tested

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.