VMBS | Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETFNASDAQ golden cross and death cross projections
On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since May, with price now sitting between the two. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.
On the daily, VMBS has crossed 12 times, roughly every 10 months, the last one on 5/11/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 2 times, most recently a golden cross in Dec 2025, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It ended the following week where it started.
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VMBS cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017
25 golden and death crosses since 2017, with 2 on the weekly timeframe. Of the 12 daily crosses tracked, we projected 11 of them from a median of 17 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the daily, on 5/11/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/11/2026 | Death moderate | daily | 1 bar cross test |
| 3/30/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 12/15/2025 | Golden moderate | weekly | Not tested |
| 7/31/2025 | Golden moderate | daily | Not tested |
| 7/15/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 5/22/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 3/4/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 12/30/2024 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 11/1/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 6/17/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 6/17/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 6/7/2024 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 4/8/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 1/18/2024 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 12/8/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 7/21/2023 | Death | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 5/23/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 5/9/2023 | Golden | daily | 5 bar cross test |
| 4/6/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/16/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 3/21/2022 | Death steep | weekly | Not tested |
| 11/17/2020 | Death | daily | 3 bar cross test |
| 1/23/2019 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 12/7/2017 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 7/12/2017 | Golden | daily | 4 bar cross test |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.