XLE | State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections

On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat above the 200 since Sep 2025, and price is trading above both. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.

On the daily, XLE has crossed 15 times, roughly every 7 months, the last one on 9/15/2025. On the weekly it has crossed just once, a golden cross in Feb 2022, with price trading above the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 13% lower.

XLE  

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as of 3 Nov 16:00 ET

XLE cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2017

28 golden and death crosses since 2017, with one on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 15 daily crosses from a median of 19 bars out. The most recent was a golden cross on the 4-hour, on 8/10/2026.

Crossed
8/10/2026Golden4-hourNot tested
6/25/2026Death4-hourNot tested
9/15/2025Golden moderatedaily1 bar cross test
7/9/2025Golden4-hour—
4/4/2025Death flatdailyNot tested
3/21/2025Golden moderatedailyNot tested
2/25/2025Death4-hour—
2/13/2025Golden4-hour—
12/31/2024Death4-hour—
12/23/2024DeathdailyNot tested
11/22/2024Goldendaily1 bar cross test
10/21/2024Golden4-hour—
9/26/2024Deathdaily2 bar cross test
6/24/2024Death4-hour—
3/25/2024GoldendailyNot tested
3/1/2024Golden4-hour—
1/3/2024Deathdaily4 bar cross test
11/14/2023Death4-hour—
8/31/2023GoldendailyNot tested
7/27/2023Golden4-hour—
5/2/2023Deathdaily1 bar cross test
3/1/2023Death4-hour—
2/28/2022Golden moderateweeklyNot tested
12/29/2020GoldendailyNot tested
11/8/2018DeathdailyNot tested
4/23/2018GoldendailyNot tested
4/13/2018DeathdailyNot tested
11/13/2017Goldendaily4 bar cross test

Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.

Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.

Cruxta · 50/200 moving-average crosses on US equities. Recorded crosses are observations. Projected crosses are projections, not advice.