XLY | State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETFAMEX golden cross and death cross projections
On the daily chart the 50 SMA has sat below the 200 since Jul, but price is now trading above both. No cross is projected on the daily or the weekly inside the 30 bars we track.
On the daily, XLY has crossed 11 times, roughly every 9 months, the last one on 7/1/2026. On the weekly it has crossed 2 times, most recently a golden cross in Dec 2023, with price trading below the 50/200 cross point that day. It closed the following week 4% lower.
On the 4-hour chart a golden cross is projected within 10 bars, which is the nearest-term signal here.
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XLY cross history: every 50/200 cross since 2018
25 golden and death crosses since 2018, with 2 on the weekly timeframe. We projected all 11 daily crosses from a median of 22 bars out. The most recent was a death cross on the 4-hour, on 9/10/2026.
| Crossed | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/10/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 8/31/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | 4 bar cross test |
| 7/27/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 7/1/2026 | Death flat | daily | 7 bar cross test |
| 6/18/2026 | Golden moderate | daily | 2 bar cross test |
| 5/12/2026 | Golden | 4-hour | 4 bar cross test |
| 3/30/2026 | Death steep | daily | Not tested |
| 2/24/2026 | Death | 4-hour | Not tested |
| 7/8/2025 | Golden steep | daily | Not tested |
| 6/4/2025 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/17/2025 | Death steep | daily | 2 bar cross test |
| 3/11/2025 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 7/1/2024 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 4/30/2024 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 12/25/2023 | Golden moderate | weekly | Not tested |
| 12/7/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 10/9/2023 | Death | 4-hour | — |
| 5/23/2023 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 3/6/2023 | Death moderate | weekly | 5 bar cross test |
| 2/8/2023 | Golden | 4-hour | — |
| 3/8/2022 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 6/22/2020 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 3/20/2020 | Death | daily | Not tested |
| 3/28/2019 | Golden | daily | Not tested |
| 12/6/2018 | Death | daily | Not tested |
No crosses on record for that combination.
Click any cross on the chart above for its lead time. Crosses from 2 September 2026 onward were watched live; earlier ones are replayed from the archive with no look-ahead, which is the same method behind the published track record.
Angle: how steeply the 50 was moving, against the stock's own volatility, on the bar it crossed. Steep crosses are the ones that hold; flat ones are the ones that come straight back. The word is the cross's, not the projection's: it is read on the cross bar.